Single Family Construction Strengthens, Multi-family Falls Sharply

Permits for construction of multi-family housing plummeted in
April, offsetting a small increase in single family permits  and
dropping the total down 7 percent from revised April figures.  Permits
for all privately owned residential construction were issued at a
seasonally adjusted annual rate of 715,000, down from the March rate of
769,000.  The March rate was revised substantially upward from the
original estimate of 747,000.  The April permitting rate is 23.7 percent
higher than that of April 2011 when the annual rate was estimated at
578,000.

Permits for single family authorizations were at a rate of 475,000, up 1.9 percent
from the March rate which was upwardly revised from 462,000 to
466,000.  The April figure is 18.5 percent higher than the rate of
401,000 one year earlier. Permits for construction in buildings with
five or more units dropped sharply from the April rate of 281,000
(revised from the original estimate of 262,000) to 217,000, a drop of
22.8 percent.   Multi-family permits were issued at a rate 40.0 percent
higher than a year earlier.

Building Permits

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Privately owned housing starts rose modestly to 717,000, a 2.6
percent increase from March and a 29.9 percent increase from the April
2011 rate of 552,000.  The March figure was revised from an original
estimate of 654,000 to 699,000.

Housing Starts

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This month the Construction Report produced by the U.S. Census Bureau
and the Department of Housing and Urban Development added a
non-seasonally adjusted set of data giving the actual numbers for
construction activity in the current month.  There were 62,000 permits
issued for residential construction during the month, 44,000 for single
family houses, and 16,000 for units in building with five or more
units.  There were also a small number of permits for units in buildings
of two to four units.

Single-family home starts were at a seasonally adjusted rate of
492,000, an increase of 2.3 percent from the March rate of 481,000 and
construction starts for multi-family housing were at a rate of 217,000
up from the March rate of 208,000.  Again the April report showed
substantial revisions of the March figures.  Single-family starts were
revised from the original estimate of 462,000 and multi-family starts
from an estimate of 178,000.

There were 64,200 units for which construction was started during the
month; 45,800 single family dwellings and 17,800 units in multiple unit
buildings. 

The housing completion rate in April was 651,000, a 10.0
percent increase from March and a 20.1 jump from one year earlier when
the rates were 592,000 and 542,000 respectively.  Single-family
completions were up 11.4 percent to 489,000.

There were 457,000 units under construction at the end of April.

On a regional basis, there were 6,900 permits issued in the
Northeast, up from 5,800 in March and 6,200 starts compared to 6,900 the
previous month.  There were 10,600 permits and 11,500 starts in the
Midwest compared to 10,300 and 8,600 in March.  In the South 30,800
permits were issued, down from 34,300 and 34,100 units were started, up
from 29,400.  In the West there were 13,600 permits issued and
construction was started on 12,400 compared to 17,000 permits and 12,500
units started in March.

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Builder Sentiment Recovers after April Drop

After a bad showing in April the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) has rebounded, hitting its highest reading since May 2007.  The index, which measures home builder confidence, rose five points from its April level to 29 in May.

The HMI derives from a monthly survey of its homebuilder members which NAHB has conducted for 25 years.  The survey gauges builders’ perceptions of current sales of single family homes as “good,” “fair,” or “poor,”; their sales expectations for the next six months on the same scale, and asks them to rate current traffic of prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average,” or “low to very low.”  Each component is scored separately and also used to construct the HMI.  A score of 50 on any of the four indices indicate that more builders view the market as good than poor.

The three components also improved on their declining numbers in April.  The components gauging current sales conditions and buyer traffic were each up five points to 30 and 23 respectively.  This was the highest level for the traffic component since April of 2007.  The component measuring sales expectations rose 3 points to 34.

“Builders in many markets are reporting that buyer traffic and sales have picked back up after a pause this April,” said Barry Rutenberg, NAHB chairman. “It seems we have resumed the gradual upward trend in confidence that started at the beginning of this year, as stabilizing prices and excellent affordability encourage more people to pursue a new-home purchase.” 

Three out of four regions registered improving builder sentiment in May. This included a six-point gain to 32 in the Northeast, and five-point gains to 27 and 28 in the Midwest and South, respectively. The West posted a two-point decline, to 29.

“While home building still has quite a way to go toward a fully healthy market, the fact that the HMI has returned to trend is an excellent sign that firming home values, improving employment and low mortgage rates are drawing consumers back,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “The pace of this emerging recovery could be stronger were it not for the significant impediments that the market continues to face with regard to builder and consumer access to credit, inaccurate appraisals, and more recently, rising materials prices.”

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Home Builder Confidence Hits Five-Year High

U.S. home builders’ sentiment rose in May to the highest level in five years as more potential buyers appeared confident that the housing market has hit bottom.

New York Real Estate Question & Answer

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